Identification of disaster-vulnerable communities by use of census data prior to the Great East Japan Earthquake

Disaster Med Public Health Prep. 2015 Feb;9(1):19-28. doi: 10.1017/dmp.2014.164.

Abstract

Objectives: The role of the community is becoming increasingly recognized as a crucial determinant of human health, particularly during a disaster and during disaster recovery. To identify disaster-vulnerable communities, we sought factors related to communities in need of support by using census information from before the Great East Japan Earthquake.

Methods: We identified vulnerable communities by using a needs-assessment survey conducted 6 to 12 months after the Great East Japan Earthquake in Ishinomaki City, Miyagi Prefecture, as indicated by higher proportions of households with at least 1 of 3 major support needs (medical, elderly, psychological, and dwelling environment). The associations between the need for support and 9 demographic characteristics of the community from census data prior to the Great East Japan Earthquake were examined for 71 communities by use of logistic regression analysis.

Results: The need for elderly support was positively associated with the proportions of aged people (odds ratio [OR]=1.5; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.2-1.8) and one-person households (OR=1.3; 95% CI: 1.0-1.7), whereas the need for psychological support was associated with the proportion of people engaged in agriculture (OR=4.6; 95% CI: 1.0-20.7). The proportion of fisheries was negatively associated with the need for dwelling environment support (OR=0.5; 95% CI: 0.3-0.9).

Conclusions: The consideration of simple demographic characteristics from the census may be useful for identifying vulnerable communities and preparing for future disasters.

Keywords: census.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Age Factors
  • Aged
  • Censuses
  • Child
  • Delivery of Health Care
  • Disaster Planning / organization & administration*
  • Disasters*
  • Earthquakes*
  • Female
  • Housing
  • Humans
  • Japan
  • Male
  • Mental Health
  • Middle Aged
  • Needs Assessment / organization & administration*
  • Residence Characteristics
  • Socioeconomic Factors
  • Vulnerable Populations*
  • Young Adult