Dramatic improvements in reported nursing home quality, including staffing ratios, have come under increased scrutiny in recent years because they are based on data self-reported by nursing homes. In contrast to other domains, the key mechanism for real improvement in the staffing ratios domain is clearer: to improve scores, nursing homes should increase staffing expenditures. We analyze the relationship between changes in expenditures and reported staffing quality pre- versus post the 5-star rating system. Our results show that the relationship between expenditures and licensed practical nurse staffing is weaker in the post-5-star period, overall, and across subgroups; furthermore, there is a weaker relationship between expenditures and registered nurse staffing among for-profit facilities with a high share of Medicaid residents in the post-5-star period. The weaker relationship between staffing expenditures and staffing scores in the post-5-star era underscores the potential for gaming of the self-reported staffing scores and the need for more reliable sources.
Keywords: Medicare costs; nursing home; public reporting; quality of care.