Projections of progress toward the 80% Bachelor of Science in Nursing recommendation and strategies to accelerate change

Abstract

Background: In 2011, the Institute of Medicine recommended that 80% of RNs have a bachelor's degree or higher by 2020. Progress toward this recommendation has been slow.

Purpose: This paper presents a model that projects whether the 80% recommendation can be met within a 10-year period and estimates the impact of education changes that might accelerate progress.

Methods: A projection model for 2016 to 2026 was created using a "stock-and-flow" approach. Secondary data were extracted from multiple sources for the projections. The model includes the option to enter alternative values of key parameters to estimate the impact of changes.

Discussion: Based on current patterns of entry-level and RN-to-BSN education, approximately 66% of RNs are projected to have BSN+ education by 2025.

Conclusions: To reach the 80% goal by 2025, changes in the mix of entry-level education and/or an increase in the number of RN-to-BSN graduates will be required.

Keywords: Baccalaureate degree; Education; Projection models.