An Intelligent Clinical Decision Support System for Preoperative Prediction of Lymph Node Metastasis in Gastric Cancer

J Am Coll Radiol. 2019 Jul;16(7):952-960. doi: 10.1016/j.jacr.2018.12.017. Epub 2019 Feb 4.

Abstract

Purpose: The aim of this study was to develop and validate a computational clinical decision support system (DSS) on the basis of CT radiomics features for the prediction of lymph node (LN) metastasis in gastric cancer (GC) using machine learning-based analysis.

Methods: Clinicopathologic and CT imaging data were retrospectively collected from 490 patients who were diagnosed with GC between January 2002 and December 2016. Radiomics features were extracted from venous-phase CT images. Relevant features were selected, ranked, and modeled using a support vector machine classifier in 326 training and validation data sets. A model test was performed independently in a test set (n = 164). Finally, a head-to-head comparison of the diagnostic performance of the DSS and that of the conventional staging criterion was performed.

Results: Two hundred ninety-seven of the 490 patients examined had histopathologic evidence of LN metastasis, yielding a 60.6% metastatic rate. The area under the curve for predicting LN+ was 0.824 (95% confidence interval, 0.804-0.847) for the DSS in the training and validation data and 0.764 (95% confidence interval, 0.699-0.833) in the test data. The calibration plots showed good concordance between the predicted and observed probability of LN+ using the DSS approach. The DSS was better able to predict LN metastasis than the conventional staging criterion in the training and validation data (accuracy 76.4% versus 63.5%) and in the test data (accuracy 71.3% versus 63.2%) CONCLUSIONS: A DSS based on 13 "worrisome" radiomics features appears to be a promising tool for the preoperative prediction of LN status in patients with GC.

Keywords: Multidetector CT; clinical decision support systems; gastric cancer; lymphatic metastasis; machine learning.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Clinical Decision-Making*
  • Databases, Factual
  • Decision Support Systems, Clinical*
  • Female
  • Gastrectomy / methods
  • Humans
  • Lymph Nodes / diagnostic imaging*
  • Lymph Nodes / pathology
  • Lymphatic Metastasis
  • Machine Learning*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multidetector Computed Tomography / methods*
  • Neoplasm Invasiveness / pathology
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Preoperative Care / methods
  • Prognosis
  • ROC Curve
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Stomach Neoplasms / diagnostic imaging
  • Stomach Neoplasms / pathology*
  • Stomach Neoplasms / surgery