Association of Longitudinal Change in High-Sensitivity Troponin with All-Cause Mortality in Coronary Artery Disease: The Heart and Soul Study

Cardiology. 2020;145(2):63-70. doi: 10.1159/000503954. Epub 2020 Jan 7.

Abstract

Background: Serial increases in high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTnT) have been associated with death in community-dwelling adults, but the association remains uninvestigated in those with coronary artery disease (CAD).

Methods: We measured hs-cTnT at baseline and after 5 years in 635 ambulatory Heart and Soul Study patients with CAD. We also performed echocardiography at rest and after treadmill exercise at baseline and after 5 years. Participants were subsequently followed for the outcome of death. We used a multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards model to evaluate the association between 5-year change in hs-cTnT and subsequent all-cause mortality.

Results: Of the 635 subjects, there were 386 participants (61%) who had an increase in hs-cTnT levels between baseline and year 5 measurements (median increase 5.6 pg/mL, IQR 3.2-9.9 pg/mL). There were 182 deaths after a mean 4.2-year follow-up after the year 5 visit. After adjusting for clinical variables, a >50% increase in hs-cTnT between baseline and year 5 was associated with a nearly 2-fold increased risk of death from any cause (hazard ratio 1.7, 95% confidence interval 1.1-2.7). When addition of year 5 hs-cTnT was compared to a model including clinical variables and baseline hs-cTnT, there was a modest but statistically significant increase in C-statistic from 0.82 to 0.83 (p = 0.04).

Conclusion: In ambulatory patients with CAD, serial increases in hs-cTnT over time are associated with an increased risk of death.

Keywords: Biomarkers; Cardiovascular disease risk factors; Coronary artery disease; Troponin.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study
  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Cause of Death
  • Coronary Artery Disease / metabolism
  • Coronary Artery Disease / mortality*
  • Echocardiography
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Risk Factors
  • San Francisco / epidemiology
  • Troponin T / blood*

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • Troponin T