How Long-Term Acute Care Hospitals Can Play an Important Role in Controlling Carbapenem-Resistant Enterobacteriaceae in a Region: A Simulation Modeling Study

Am J Epidemiol. 2021 Feb 1;190(3):448-458. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwaa247.

Abstract

Typically, long-term acute care hospitals (LTACHs) have less experience in and incentives to implementing aggressive infection control for drug-resistant organisms such as carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE) than acute care hospitals. Decision makers need to understand how implementing control measures in LTACHs can impact CRE spread regionwide. Using our Chicago metropolitan region agent-based model to simulate CRE spread and control, we estimated that a prevention bundle in only LTACHs decreased prevalence by a relative 4.6%-17.1%, averted 1,090-2,795 new carriers, 273-722 infections and 37-87 deaths over 3 years and saved $30.5-$69.1 million, compared with no CRE control measures. When LTACHs and intensive care units intervened, prevalence decreased by a relative 21.2%. Adding LTACHs averted an additional 1,995 carriers, 513 infections, and 62 deaths, and saved $47.6 million beyond implementation in intensive care units alone. Thus, LTACHs may be more important than other acute care settings for controlling CRE, and regional efforts to control drug-resistant organisms should start with LTACHs as a centerpiece.

Keywords: Carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae; hospitals; long-term acute care hospitals; prevention and control.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Carbapenem-Resistant Enterobacteriaceae*
  • Clinical Protocols / standards*
  • Computer Simulation
  • Enterobacteriaceae Infections / epidemiology*
  • Enterobacteriaceae Infections / prevention & control*
  • Hospital Administration*
  • Humans
  • Infection Control / organization & administration*
  • Infection Control / standards
  • Models, Theoretical