Cellular Automata in Covid-19 prediction

Procedia Comput Sci. 2021:192:3370-3379. doi: 10.1016/j.procs.2021.09.110. Epub 2021 Oct 1.

Abstract

At the end of 2019 a new coronavirus emerged, turning into a world pandemic. The new coronavirus is called COVID-19. Different countries handled the pandemic differently and our main focus in this article is on Poland. For better counteracting and managing the situation a model for predicting the dynamics of the pandemic is needed. In this article we present a model for simulating future infections taking into account various preventive measures and locations in Poland. We based the model on a two-dimensional cellular automata, with spatial dependencies between regions, different population and size of simulated regions.

Keywords: Covid-19 prediction; cellular automata; simulation.