Background and aims: We aimed to study the relationship between cerebral small vessel disease (cSVD) lesions, as markers of subclinical target organ damage (TOD) in the brain, and incident cardiovascular events (CVE).
Methods: Data from the ISSYS (Investigating Silent Strokes in hYpertensives Study), which is a longitudinal and observational study conducted in patients with hypertension aged 50-70 years, and stroke-free at the inclusion. At the baseline visit, participants underwent a clinical interview, a brain MRI, urine and blood sampling collection and vascular testing studies. Therefore, we obtained markers of TOD from the brain [white matter hyperintensities, silent brain infarcts (SBI), cerebral microbleeds and enlarged perivascular spaces (EPVS)], from kidney (microalbuminuria, glomerular filtration) and regarding large vessels [ankle-to-brachial index (ABI), carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity]. Survival analyses were used to assess the relationship between these predictors and the incidence of cardiovascular events (CVE).
Results: We followed-up 964 individuals within a median time of 5 years (4.7-5), representing 4377.1 persons-year. We found 73 patients presenting incident CVE, which corresponds to a rate of 8.2%. We found ABI less than 0.9 [hazard ratio, 2.2; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.17-4.13, P value = 0.014] and SBI (hazard ratio, 2.9; 95% CI 1.47-5.58, P value = 0.002) independently associated with higher risk of incident CVE. The inclusion of both variables in a clinical model resulted in an increased discrimination of individuals with new CVE of 4.72%, according to the integrated discrimination index.
Conclusion: Assessment of SBI and ABI less than 0.9 may refine the cardiovascular risk stratification in patients with hypertension.
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