Dynamic predictors of in-hospital and 3-year mortality after traumatic brain injury: A retrospective cohort study

Am J Surg. 2023 Apr;225(4):781-786. doi: 10.1016/j.amjsurg.2022.10.003. Epub 2022 Oct 28.

Abstract

Background: Mortality risks after Traumatic Brain Injury (TBI) are understudied in critical illness. We sought to identify risks of mortality in critically ill patients with TBI using time-varying covariates.

Methods: This single-center, six-year (2006-2012), retrospective cohort study measured demographics, injury characteristics, and daily data of acute TBI patients in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU). Time-varying Cox proportional hazards models assessed in-hospital and 3-year mortality.

Results: Post-TBI ICU patients (n = 2664) experienced 20% in-hospital mortality (n = 529) and 27% (n = 706) 3-year mortality. Glasgow Coma Scale motor subscore (hazard ratio (HR) 0.58, p < 0.001), pupil reactivity (HR 3.17, p < 0.001), minimum glucose (HR 1.44, p < 0.001), mSOFA score (HR 1.81, p < 0.001), coma (HR 2.26, p < 0.001), and benzodiazepines (HR 1.38, p < 0.001) were associated with in-hospital mortality. At three years, public insurance (HR 1.78, p = 0.011) and discharge disposition (HR 4.48, p < 0.001) were associated with death.

Conclusions: Time-varying characteristics influenced in-hospital mortality post-TBI. Socioeconomic factors primarily affect three-year mortality.

Keywords: Critical illness; Mental status; Mortality; Predictors; Traumatic brain injury.

MeSH terms

  • Brain Injuries*
  • Brain Injuries, Traumatic* / complications
  • Glasgow Coma Scale
  • Hospitals
  • Humans
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Retrospective Studies