Perfusion quality odds (PEQUOD) trial: validation of the multifactorial dynamic perfusion index as a predictor of cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury

Abstract

Objectives: The multifactorial dynamic perfusion index was recently introduced as a predictor of cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury. The multifactorial dynamic perfusion index was developed based on retrospective data retrieved from the patient files. The present study aims to prospectively validate this index in an external series of patients, through an on-line measure of its various components.

Methods: Inclusion criteria were adult patients undergoing cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass. Data collection included preoperative factors and cardiopulmonary bypass-related factors. These were collected on-line using a dedicated monitor. Factors composing the multifactorial dynamic perfusion index are the nadir haematocrit, the nadir oxygen delivery, the time of exposure to a low oxygen delivery, the nadir mean arterial pressure, cardiopulmonary bypass duration, the use of red blood cell transfusions and the peak arterial lactates.

Results: Two hundred adult patients were investigated. The multifactorial dynamic perfusion index had a good (c-statistics 0.81) discrimination for cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury (any stage) and an excellent (c-statistics 0.93) discrimination for severe patterns (stage 2-3). Calibration was modest for cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury (any stage) and good for stage 2-3. The use of vasoconstrictors was an additional factor associated with cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury.

Conclusions: The multifactorial dynamic perfusion index is validated for discrimination of cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury risk. It incorporates modifiable risk factors, and may help in reducing the occurrence of cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury.

Keywords: Acute kidney injury; Cardiopulmonary bypass; Haematocrit; Oxygen delivery; Risk models.